Population forecast
Population projections provide estimates of the future size, gender and age composition of the population. It is important to stress that population projections are not accurate predictions about the future, but are the result of calculations determined by assumptions about births, deaths and migration. If our assumptions are not met, the actual developments will deviate from the projection.
Our assumption on fertility is based on experiences from the period 2004 - 2008 and it is assumed that the total fertility rate will decline over the next 10 years. Our assumption on mortality is also based on the period 2004-2008. This means, that life expectancy is expected to continue to rise over the projection period (1.8 years for men and 1.2 years for women).
Overview 1
Population forecast. 2009-2019
|
|
2009 |
2010 |
2011 |
2012 |
2013 |
2014 |
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
|
Total |
56194 |
56179 |
56150 |
56138 |
56143 |
56164 |
56186 |
56235 |
56294 |
56367 |
56437 |
|
Born in Greenland |
50023 |
50025 |
50015 |
50021 |
50040 |
50070 |
50098 |
50151 |
50213 |
50286 |
50357 |
|
Born outside Greenland |
6171 |
6154 |
6135 |
6117 |
6103 |
6094 |
6088 |
6084 |
6081 |
6081 |
6080 |
Source: Statistics Greenland
In overview 1 and table 5 results from the projections can be seen. For more details – visit http://bank.stat.gl/BEELF1. The forecast is calculated on both ‘persons born in Greenland’ and those ‘born outside Greenland’. The two subpopulations evolve in different directions. The persons born in Greenland, is expected to increase steadily from 50,023 persons in 2009 to 50,357 persons in 2019. The ‘persons born outside Greenland’ is expected to decline from 6,171 persons in 2009 to 6,080 in 2019. The total population has been projected to increase by 243 persons from 56,194 persons in 2009 to 56,437 persons in 2019.